Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.933309 2.235982 2.568613 2.961037 3.411115 3.910950 4.507950
2025-03-16 1.454702 1.836127 2.291158 2.873099 3.596718 4.466060 5.589034
2025-03-23 1.231373 1.677076 2.248014 3.030875 4.074278 5.414845 7.265839
2025-03-30 1.044133 1.522642 2.175948 3.129199 4.480434 6.322602 9.019869
2025-04-06 0.874669 1.357626 2.056399 3.135133 4.751739 7.076467 10.664092
2025-04-13 0.702201 1.155231 1.847052 2.972373 4.747722 7.429150 11.771762
2025-04-20 0.624002 1.081917 1.816003 3.067426 5.134547 8.396212 13.909883
2025-04-27 0.571438 1.039973 1.825442 3.223413 5.631795 9.586632 16.538113
2025-05-04 0.512665 0.976889 1.788773 3.293739 5.991122 10.589514 18.972939
2025-05-11 0.457758 0.911188 1.736654 3.326797 6.285229 11.509394 21.365900
2025-05-18 0.394950 0.820265 1.625292 3.234912 6.339493 12.010862 23.069684
2025-05-25 0.334765 0.724532 1.490647 3.078643 6.249865 12.235105 24.281241
2025-06-01 0.300299 0.676903 1.445145 3.094874 6.503470 13.145090 26.931277
2025-06-08 0.261140 0.613013 1.357853 3.014569 6.555139 13.674929 28.911028
2025-06-15 0.249058 0.606644 1.389434 3.186940 7.147469 15.341585 33.364685
2025-06-22 0.232651 0.587695 1.391050 3.294448 7.615682 16.808356 37.577134
2025-06-29 0.210887 0.552427 1.351096 3.303210 7.868540 17.851684 41.011788
2025-07-06 0.180384 0.490504 1.240615 3.133423 7.696346 17.958398 42.416292
2025-07-13 0.169769 0.477317 1.243983 3.234297 8.163405 19.528736 47.271144
2025-07-20 0.163439 0.474354 1.271929 3.398993 8.802890 21.559704 53.408392
2025-07-27 0.152932 0.458283 1.264458 3.473329 9.230284 23.144087 58.671708
2025-08-03 0.141592 0.437953 1.242978 3.508313 9.562932 24.538704 63.632393
2025-08-10 0.125921 0.402376 1.175586 3.411689 9.544077 25.074890 66.541555